Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1.633114e-04 0.000186 0.000209 0.000235 0.000263 0.000291 0.000323
2025-01-19 1.141045e-04 0.000146 0.000182 0.000224 0.000271 0.000322 0.000382
2025-01-26 8.907650e-05 0.000126 0.000168 0.000220 0.000282 0.000350 0.000432
2025-02-02 7.207042e-05 0.000111 0.000159 0.000219 0.000292 0.000376 0.000478
2025-02-09 5.789135e-05 0.000098 0.000148 0.000215 0.000298 0.000395 0.000515
2025-02-16 4.962747e-05 0.000091 0.000145 0.000219 0.000312 0.000424 0.000563
2025-02-23 4.213771e-05 0.000084 0.000141 0.000221 0.000324 0.000448 0.000606
2025-03-02 3.517323e-05 0.000076 0.000135 0.000220 0.000331 0.000468 0.000643
2025-03-09 3.265300e-05 0.000075 0.000139 0.000231 0.000354 0.000505 0.000701
2025-03-16 2.778789e-05 0.000070 0.000135 0.000232 0.000363 0.000527 0.000740
2025-03-23 2.445958e-05 0.000067 0.000134 0.000236 0.000376 0.000553 0.000785
2025-03-30 2.097420e-05 0.000062 0.000131 0.000238 0.000386 0.000575 0.000825
2025-04-06 1.606905e-05 0.000055 0.000123 0.000232 0.000386 0.000586 0.000852
2025-04-13 1.110299e-05 0.000046 0.000112 0.000221 0.000379 0.000587 0.000867
2025-04-20 8.265604e-06 0.000041 0.000106 0.000218 0.000383 0.000601 0.000899
2025-04-27 6.202345e-06 0.000037 0.000102 0.000216 0.000388 0.000619 0.000934
2025-05-04 4.316751e-06 0.000032 0.000096 0.000213 0.000390 0.000631 0.000962
2025-05-11 3.417821e-06 0.000031 0.000096 0.000216 0.000403 0.000657 0.001010
2025-05-18 2.544926e-06 0.000028 0.000094 0.000218 0.000412 0.000679 0.001052
2025-05-25 1.732977e-06 0.000026 0.000091 0.000217 0.000418 0.000697 0.001087
2025-06-01 1.591455e-06 0.000026 0.000094 0.000228 0.000441 0.000738 0.001154
2025-06-08 1.078471e-06 0.000024 0.000092 0.000229 0.000450 0.000758 0.001194
2025-06-15 7.883270e-07 0.000023 0.000092 0.000233 0.000463 0.000786 0.001243